Can you take Biden to victory? Build your own US election result: plot a Biden or Trump win The Fix's 2016 Create Your Own Electoral College Map simulator *No district-level delegates from Pennsylvania are allocated because those delegates are directly elected without indicating presidential preference. This isn't Earth 6. View overall results, or a specific state: (Defaults are from 2020) The Republican ticket of businessman Donald Trump and Indiana Governor Mike Pence defeated the Democratic ticket of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and U.S. Win the White House is among the seven games that were cited for excellence in 2020 by International Serious Play Awards Program. Give speeches, go on talk shows, hire unsavory operatives, and do whatever it takes to win on election day. v1.1 Included: Over a dozen new candidates, updated issues and . This is likely to favour the Republicans, in which case Trump would end up staying in the White House. First, we calculated the average share of the vote for each position (first place through fourth place) in all contests through Super Tuesday, with some adjustments made for cases where there would be fewer than four candidates. Follow Election Polls, Predictions, Endorsements, and Mock Election on the Atlas Activity Stream; Atlas Weblog; Election Tools. Romney received just 27 percent of their votes in 2012, and Trump is in danger of faring even worse. Some states remain very likely to go to Biden or Trump because they were won by large margins in 2016, or they have voted the same way in several recent elections. American Election by Greg Buchanan - Itch.io The map was created by Ste Kinney-Fields and is based on data from from fivethirtyeight and 270towin.You can read the full article here.. Disclaimer: This post was written before the 2016 election results, so was a best guess as to how each group . Select a year and a candidate to find out. [read full article], The Political Machine has always been a game that gets users excited for the upcoming "The definitive 2016 election game!" - said no one. Community Hub. Vote Share (%) Turnout (%) Rep Votes. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved. Demographic Group. Simulation Infogram. Save your Map Democratic Republican How do you stack up? In most states, the winner of the popular vote gets all of the state's electoral votes. Contact us at electionscenarioexplorer@gmail.com. Independent Evan McMullin received 21.5% of the vote in Utah; best '3rd party' performance in any single state since Ross Perot in 1992, Libertarian Gary Johnson received over 3% of the nationwide vote; best 3rd party performance nationwide since Ross Perot in 1996. Which President's personality most closely matches yours? 2020 Electoral College Map | PBS NewsHour We the People - Election Simulator 2021 Guardian News & Media Limited or its affiliated companies. Last updated April 27, 2016 at 11:08 p.m. First, we calculated the average share of the vote for each position (first place through fourth place) in all contests through Super Tuesday, with some adjustments made for cases where there would be fewer than four candidates. Bullaburra accommodation meaning. Dem Votes. I've preloaded the simulator with data for the 2016 U.S. presidential election and a handful of other historical 3-party races that are interesting for a variety of reasons. a campaign assistant working to elect her candidate. Finally, the map can be populated randomly or more East-to-West, based on actual poll closing times. Thank you, please check to confirm your subscription! 2016 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight Johnson wins at least one electoral vote. Then click the Move button and the state you want to move your counties to. Election simulation data from the Economist election model . Skew results Democratic Republican Use Preset Result Data *Uses current state electoral vote count 1. Data Updated: Tue Nov 03 2020 04:02:43 GMT-0800 (Pacific Standard Time) . 2016 Election Simulation: Clinton vs Trump - YouTube High Latino turnout will be most crucial to Clinton's prospects in Florida and Nevada. Although Asians and others (including Native Americans, Native Hawaiians and multiracial voters) made up just 5 percent of all voters in 2012, they are the fastest-growing segment of the voting-eligible population. And for us to be thorough in that regard, we must have an electoral map tool. One of only 5 elections (1824, 1876, 1888, 2000, 2016) where the popular vote winner was defeated Hillary Clinton first female presidential nominee of a major political party Clinton won Maine but Trump earned an electoral vote by winning the popular vote in the 2nd Congressional District. Non-Hisp. Results can now split Maine and Nebraska, as there is at least some possibility that one congressional district in each of those states may be competitive in November. Clinton wins popular vote but loses Electoral College. Sources: Mess around. Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. So we built one. However, Latino voters tend to turn out at lower rates than whites and African-Americans and are heavily concentrated in non-battleground states, such as California, New York and Texas, limiting their influence in the Electoral College. The map above shows how the 2016 US Presidential election might go if only one demographic group got the vote. For now, a combination of polling, 2012 actual and, The way the site is structured, we can only have one simulation pairing, and so we've chosen to launch (rather than wait) with the most likely fall match-up. 0.3%. ET. The United States presidential election of 2016 was the 58th quadrennial American presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. Ns2 network simulator feetures socks. 2023-24 Election Forecast. Whites without college degrees are the bedrock of Donald Trump's coalition: Mitt Romney carried them by more than 20 percentage points in 2012, and Trump is on pace to well exceed that showing. Points Shop News Labs. Contact us with any questions or comments. In 2000, Al Gore carried just 169. American History USA Top 5 Election Simulation Games[2023] - Wondershare Finally, we adjusted the size of each demographic group by doubling census-estimated population change for voting-age citizens from 2016 to 2018. This marked the first time that Maine has split its electoral vote since it moved away from the winner-take-all method in 1972. The state-by-state . For the Bernie Sanders fans out there, we continue to maintain the Sanders vs. Trump electoral map. M ove Hide Counties Share Year: Details Code available on GitHub . PDF America's Electoral Future - Brookings Institution VoteFerret Election Simulation View our Campaign Trail Hall of Fame. The way the site is structured, we can only have one simulation pairing, and so we've chosen to launch (rather than wait) with the most likely fall match-up. United States 2020 Presidential Election Simulator Hit the "Run Simulation" button. On any day, we collate any polls published in the last 14 days and take a mean average of their results. Defeat each candidate to unlock them for general . For now, a combination of polling, 2012 actual and pundit projectionsare considered. The simulator is largely based on a data-driven presidential model created by JHK forecasts. You can choose to have the map populate randomly or more east to west, based on actual poll closing times. Click on this interactive map to create your own projections for the 2020 presidential race, see. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Specifically, we used exit polls and data from the 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study to estimate each demographic group's partisan preference, and data from the Census Bureau's 2016 report on voting and registration to estimate each group's turnout level. Choose a county (or several) to move to a new state. The sample of 100 outcomes below gives you a good idea of the range of scenarios our model thinks is possible. There is also a community page thecampaigntrail on Reddit. 10.5%. The United States presidential election of 2016 was the 58th quadrennial American presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. Previously reliable states on both sides are now looking more competitive. This article was published more than6 years ago. Number of IndependentsDefault123, Election Results for 2024 - Use Simplified Version of the Electoral College Calculator. (Defaults are from 2020), Show Map Link (for use in uselectionatlas.org forum posts only), Calculator for Another Year: Fantasy Election US Map Maker by ZingChart These are the states that had a lower than 3% margin in 2016 or switched from red to blue/blue to red between 2008 and 2016. Who will protect women from the courts and legislatures? Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - 2016 View your games and progress over time. You are an American. All Games > Simulation Games > Election simulator. The tool populates an electoral map in about 15 seconds, based on a probability set for each state. Each state's delegation casts a single vote with a majority of 26 out of 50 needed to win. Game Jolt - Share your creations It was started during the 2016 elections and now it has been updated for the 2020 election. Under a 269-269 tie, the Constitution states that the House of Representatives decides the President. Nothing has been posted to this project page yet. It is 2016. Please enter a name, party, and color for each candidate. PDF Primary Party Candidate Simulation - faculty.etsu.edu If you find something interesting -- a scenario that even Martin O'Malley could win -- let us know in the comments. The Political Machine is a trademark of Stardock Entertainment. YAPms 2 Beta - Discord USA 2016 Presidential Election Shortcuts F - hold down to quickly fill in districts CTRL - hold down to decrement the color Enable Simulator District Electoral College The Electoral College is the process in which the United States elects its president. [read full article], 64 MB DirectX 9.0c 3DVideo Card with PixelShader 2.0 Support. Presidential Election of 2016 - 270toWin And since that wasn't enough . 2016 Presidential Election Forecast Maps - 270toWin States Choosing Electors using Winner-take-all Method: (Prefer a Simpler Version?) Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2020 presidential election. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast. presidents in American history. To build a baseline model of the 2020 presidential election we started with the results of the 2016 election, measuring the support for President Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton by race, college education and age in each state. You must have Javascript enabled to play this game. Sources: Edison Media Research/Mitofsky International (2004/2008/2012 exit polls); U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey (turnout rates by race/ethnicity); U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (population estimates); Cook Political Report (election results; compiled from official sources). In the interactive graphic below, you decide which way these closer states will vote, and try to pave Joe Biden or Donald Trumps path to victory. Not only did they give President Obama 93 percent of their votes in 2012, but their turnout surpassed that of whites. Maybe check back later! Change the settings below to see how shifts in party preference and turnout by different demographic groups would affect the 2016 presidential election. Ted puts Hillary's reputation to the test. A majority of 270 electoral votes out of a total of 538 is needed to win, and the remaining states are up to you. The Presidential Election Delegate Simulator - WSJ.com Clinton majority wins at least 50 percent of the vote. Three additional faithless votes, one each in Colorado, Maine and Minnesota, were disallowed. Adjust the Turnout and Two-Party Vote to Simulate 2016 Presidential Election Scenarios. Trump wins popular vote but loses Electoral College. had on the election, we considered the scenario in which several of the primary major party candidates were also o cial candidates in the nal presidential election. Take our Presidential Personality Quiz. Edited by Anna Brand. The electoral map has shifted in 2020, amid new challenges from misinformation to mail-in ballots. The state-by-state vote share breaks down as follows: The simulation accounts for state-by-state rules as well. 2020 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight Special thanks to New Signature for their work on a clickable U.S. map. Data analysis by David Wasserman. Have fun. Clinton won Washington; however three electors cast votes for Colin Powell, one for Faith Spotted Eagle, Trump won Texas; however one elector cast a vote for Ron Paul, another for John Kasich, Clinton won Hawaii; however one elector cast a vote for Bernie Sanders. Development and design by Robin Muccari, Nigel Chiwaya, Jiachuan Wu and Sophie Andrews. Aside from 1872 - death of Horace Greeley - it is the greatest number since electors began casting one vote each for president and vice president (12th Amendment, 1804). 201620122008200420001996199219881984198019761972196819641960195619521948194419401936193219281924192019161912190819041900189618921888188418801876187218681864186018561852184818441840 This election simulation game is developed by icivics has been played more than 6 million times. Trumps unpopularity among white voters with college degrees could be his Achilles heel and Hillary Clintons salvation. Create your own Click on the edit button in the title or near each candidate to edit the content Click each state to cycle through colors to determine a state's winner. See the Princeton Election Consortium site for probability color scheme. No district-level delegates from Pennsylvania are allocated because those delegates are directly elected without indicating presidential preference. Related reporting: Trump's Path to a Contested Convention . Use Simplified Version of the Electoral College Calculator, Electoral College Calculator and Map Generator - 2024. Election simulator is a political satire game where you gain Voters by literally throwing cash at problems in society. In 2012, President Obama carried 257 of the 673 majority-white counties where over a third of residents ages 25 and older hold at least a bachelor's degree. After this standardization process, we then take a mean average of these daily entries in order to present the polling average. Save your map : Lesson Plan: . Voting history and 2016 margins have been retrieved from the Federal Election Commission. No delegates are allocated for Guam, American Samoa and North Dakota because they arent holding presidential preference votes and their delegates are unbound. Follow Race to the WH on. By Aaron Bycoffe and David Wasserman. Methodology. This game was built using Twine. American History USA Presidential Election of 2016 - 270toWin v1.2 Included: Ranked multiplayer matchmaking, election simulation mode, and new "Brexit" event. (Defaults are from 2020), States Choosing Electors using Congressional District Method: Sorry but an error occured. This simulation uses a set of assumptions based on the results of the Republican primary so far. Campaign Trail results and averages by election: 2020 2016 2016a 2012 2000 1988 1976 1968 1960 1948 1916 1896 1860 1844 Tweet How do you stack up? Each candidate comes with a modern perspective on all of the hot current issues and is ready to fight for the 2016 presidency. Save the election map to generate a unique link to share. Presidential Election Simulator - 270toWin In states with delegates awarded by congressional district, the simulation allocates delegates in the following ranges: Due to rounding and the range of possible outcomes, individual candidates' delegate totals may sum to more than the total available delegates. Demographic Calculator - RealClearPolitics All Rights Reserved. The Excel workbook contains an election simulator that allows you to predict who will win each state, whilst keeping count of the Electoral College votes. The Simulator Returns for 2016 - 270toWin New for 2016:The 2016 simulator is no longer coded in Flash, so it will work on your mobile device. Simulate the Election Race to the WH McMullin wins at least one electoral vote. Play Win the White House - President Election Game | iCivics If any company has conducted multiple polls in the last 14 days, we average out their polling results in order to give them just one entry. The Democratic incumbent, aged 79, passes on what would be a fairly easy path to a fourth term, He faces little opposition from within the Democratic Party; Possible Rematch with Donald Trump in 2024, The final Secretary of State under Donald Trump did not rule out a future campaign, It will be the 12th time Chicago has hosted the Democrats; the GOP will gather in Milwaukee for their convention in mid-July, Several other cities are holding mayoral elections or primaries, The probabilities will be determined by polling, particularly as that becomes more frequent. The split can be edited in this table. All Rights Reserved. Non-college-educated whites skew older and rural and will be 46 percent of eligible voters in 2016, down from 49 percent in 2012. Take our Presidential Personality Quiz. The Republican ticket of businessman Donald Trump and Indiana Governor Mike Pence defeated the Democratic ticket of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and U.S. The Political Machine 2016 However, like Latinos, these voters are heavily concentrated in less competitive states such as California, Hawaii and Washington. Or will Trump stay in the White House? Or Don't. The election is your choice. Additional contributions from Allison McCann. - The options for swing states are: Florida, Maine (at large), Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska (2nd district), New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada Indiana, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio. States already placed in the Biden and Trump camp are those classified as solid or likely to go to each candidate according to the Cook Political Report as of 9 September 2020. US election live follow all the latest updates. 2024 Polls Presidential Election Senate GOP Primary Dem Primary Biden Approval Rating Tracker. The model used here allocates the congressional district electoral votes in those states separately from the statewide electoral votes. The tool populates an electoral map in about 15 seconds, based on a probability set for each state. Forum Discussion of the 2016 Presidential Election, Forum Discussion of the 2016 Gubernatorial Elections, Forum Discussion of the 2016 Congressional Elections, Follow Election Polls, Predictions, Endorsements, and Mock Election on the Atlas Activity Stream, 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary - Democratic, 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary - Republican. View our Campaign Trail Hall of Fame. Clinton won Maine but Trump earned an electoral vote by winning the popular vote in the 2nd Congressional District. Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. The goal of this report . 2016 election simulation as if voter turnout and preferences were the same as in 2012scenario Athe authors are not expressing the belief that this is a likely event. Just kidding! There's little evidence that Trump is improving on Romneys 6 percent showing, but without Obama on the ballot, Democrats will need to ensure black turnout remains high. Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. Interactive US map from jquery us-map . But it's not just any ol' electoral map simulator; we made a tool that lets you also 1) jump to particular scenarios and 2) see how the states have voted in the past. 2016 US Presidential Electoral Map If Only [X] Voted In the new ladder mode, you will choose your political party and launch your campaign against increasingly challenging opponents. Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse. WRITER / DIRECTOR : Greg Buchanan PROGRAMMERS: Cherie Davidson and Matt Nichols COMPOSER: Seb Peters ILLUSTRATOR: Adam Coburn LOGO: Anthony Gambino Copyright 2023 Stardock Entertainment. For example, candidates with less than a states required minimum share of the vote receive no delegates in that state. It's almost here - the moment we've all been waiting for - Sprocket for 2 15/16 shaft 140 chain. Colorado, Wyoming and Virgin Islands aren't holding a presidential preference vote either, but those states are included since those national convention delegates must indicate which candidate, if any, they intend to support. "WE THE PEOPLE" ELECTION SIMULATION: In this extended class activity students take part in an election simulation as a way of evaluating the election procedures used in the state of Connecticut and nationally and examine key elements of elections such as voter participation, eligibility, election security and the electoral process. Trump win Biden. 2020 polling indicates a 14-day rolling average of statewide polls calculated by the Guardian, correct as of the timestamp above. The answers will affect your popularity for better or worse, both nationally and in individual states. See the But it's not just any ol' electoral map simulator; we made a tool that lets you also 1) jump to particular scenarios and 2) see how the states have voted in the past. Maine and Nebraska award one electoral vote to the winner of the popular vote in each congressional district and two electoral votes to the statewide winner. To change a state's party, click on an individual state on the U.S. map. In this game, you will make choices. Election Manager 2016 is an abstract strategic election simulation game where you manage your ticket in an attempt to get your candidate elected to the office of President of the United States. Additional new features will be coming soon. 2016 Presidential Election Interactive Map - 270toWin Brian wahlbrink sugar pine realty gmac Six13 songs pk. Here's how to play our game that lets you predict the next president. USA - 2016 Presidential Election Map - YAPms Dive in. Electoral College Calculator and Map Generator - Dave Leip's Atlas of U Dove trovare peluche masha e orso cartone. Ns2 network simulator Start with the results of the previous election, adjusted for demographic change since 2016. Support|Gamepedia Wiki Results from the Campaign Trail will be tied to your account. It's very simple: Choose a 3-party presidential race from the drop -down. Choose a path to the White House with our 'Road to 270' map - NBC News Princeton Election Consortium Electoral Map Colors indicate likelihood for a Clinton or Trump victory in each state based on current polling.
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